BITCOIN RADARrisk terminal

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loading
accumulatedcaholddistribute

15-MIN CALL coinbase · 1-min model

btc above $ in 15 min?
fitting the model…

    STRIKE LADDER LAB 15-min fit · zero-poll

    strikep(above) · 15 minyes
    model warming…
    odds re-priced locally from the 15-MIN CALL quantile table

    MOSCOW TIME LAB waiting for price…

    1 $ = — sats

    sats per $1, read as a clock — last two digits are the minutes
    1,579 sats → 15:79 · flips green when the dollar buys more sats

    HALVING CLOCK

    syncing…
    block to go

    DIFFICULTY EPOCH LAB syncing…

    —.——%
    est. adjustment
    syncing with the chain…
    epoch to go
    pace /block
    prev retarget
    SECURITY BUDGET · 144 BLK
    syncing…

    BOOK DEPTH

    ₿ resting in the book between spot and each price

    BLOCK GRAFFITI LAB syncing…

    • syncing — waiting for the chain tip…

    coinbase tags + OP_RETURNs · sampled: first 25 txs/block

    PRICE × RISK png ↗

    ORBITAL SIEGE waiting for the tape

    ORBITAL SIEGE — THE LIVE MARKET AS A BATTLEFIELD
    waiting for the price feed…
    READING THE TAPE
    BUY WALLwaiting for the book…
    SELL WALL
    LIQUIDATIONS
      drag to orbit · wheel to zoom · wasd to fly · esc to exit

      bulls left · bears right · every trade a shot at the shield wall on the live price

      NODE MAP

      reachable bitcoin nodes by location · dot ≈ nodes in a 0.1° cell · arcs illustrative

      THE BLOCK — 3D

      BITCOIN BLOCK — LIVE CUTAWAY
      syncing with the chain tip…
      THE MACHINE, OPENED the shell splits open every few seconds — drag to orbit
      drag to orbit · esc to exit · rebuilds on every block found

      FEE WEATHER LAB syncing…

      walking the projected blocks…

      forecast — dashed blocks aren't mined yet · fill = fullness · color = median sat/vB

      BLOCKS — LIVE ASSEMBLY LAB

      CYCLE RULERS LAB fitting…

      POWER-LAW FAIR
      MAYER ×200D SMA
      syncing…

      log-log least squares over all shipped history · band = 5th–95th pct of fit residuals

      HOW RISK IS MADE

      Each signal is ranked against its own trailing 4 years; risk is the average of the three percentiles. The headline number moves live: today's exact risk-vs-price curve, evaluated at the live price.

      4-YR Z-SCORE
      (price − 4yr SMA) / 4yr σ
      20-WK EXTENSION
      ln(price / 20w SMA)
      MOMENTUM
      50d SMA / 50w SMA
      mean → risk

      LEVERAGE TEMP LAB syncing…

      FUNDING APR reading the tape…
      ◂ shorts payflatlongs pay ▸
      perpssyncing…

      APR = 8h funding × 1095 (×3 ×365) · deribit = trailing 8h realized · okx = current period · carry = nearest quarterly mark ⁄ spot − 1, × 365 ⁄ days

      MARKET FABRIC

      connecting · price: coinbase
      market fabric · loading last 10,000 trades…

        KEYSPACE LOTTERY LAB warming up…

        keys0
        addresses0
        hits0
        sats0
        odds so far · press to begin
        ENTROPY · crypto.getRandomValuesidle
        LATEST KEY •••• no key yet ••••
          UPGRADESbank 0 keys
          astronomically large

            keys are generated in your browser and never leave it · only addresses are checked · never use these keys

            WHALE WATCH — ON-CHAIN LAB syncing…

            • syncing…

            relay txs ≥ 10 ₿ · sampled from relay — not exhaustive

            LIGHTNING PULSELAB syncing…

            ₿ routable
            public channel capacity — syncing…
            channels
            nodes
            med channel
            clearnet both tor private
            TOP LIQUIDITY
            • ranking the giants…

            public lightning network · 7d deltas vs last week · spark deepens with use

            YOUR RULES

            TODAY'S ORDER × RISK

            buy + reserve sell

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